Live prediction market odds for What will Jensen Huang say during NVIDIA GTC Keynote?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-16
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Jensen Huang will say during the NVIDIA GTC Keynote. Insights from this keynote can influence market trends in technology and investment, particularly in AI and graphics processing sectors.
Blackwell leads What will Jensen Huang say during NVIDIA GTC Keynote at 96.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Data Center (96.3%), Alpamayo (83.3%), and Anthropic (30.0%). A 5.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Jensen Huang's keynote is a major event for the tech industry, often unveiling new products and strategies. His announcements can significantly influence stock prices and investor sentiment in the tech sector.
Prediction markets allow participants to bet on the outcomes of specific statements or announcements. The odds reflect collective expectations based on various factors, including past performance and current trends.
Predictions may be influenced by recent developments in technology, competitive actions from other companies, and market reactions to prior announcements. Analysts also consider the current economic climate and investor interests in AI and graphics technologies.
What will Jensen Huang say during NVIDIA GTC Keynote is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Blackwell leads at 96% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Data Center at 96%, Alpamayo at 83%, Anthropic at 30%.
Blackwell currently leads at 96% implied probability. Behind Blackwell, Data Center at 96% and Alpamayo at 83% and Anthropic at 30% are the next closest contenders. The 5.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Blackwell
96.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jensen Huang says Alpamayo as part of NVIDIA GTC 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
Video of the NVIDIA GTC 2026 Keynote will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the NVIDIA GTC 2026 Keynote will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
PolymarketJensen Huang is scheduled to deliver a keynote at the NVIDIA GTC event on March 16, 2026, 2PM ET (https://www.nvidia.com/gtc/keynote/?regcode=no-ncid&ncid=no-ncid). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jensen Huang says the listed term during the event on March 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the NVIDIA GTC keynote on March 16, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
