Live prediction market odds for What will Keir Starmer say during the next Prime Minister's Questions?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-25
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Keir Starmer will say during the next Prime Minister's Questions. This event is crucial as it can influence public perception and political discourse, especially in light of ongoing national issues and party dynamics.
Iran 3+ times is priced at 85.3% implied probability for the “What will Keir Starmer say during the next Prime Minister's Questions” event. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Keir Starmer may focus on pressing national issues such as healthcare, the economy, and recent government policies. His statements could reflect the concerns of his constituents and party priorities.
Prediction markets gauge public sentiment by allowing participants to bet on specific outcomes of Starmer's statements. Shifts in odds can indicate how confident the market is in his ability to address key issues.
Odds can be influenced by recent news, polling data, and public reactions to Starmer's past performances. Additionally, the political climate and upcoming elections may also play a role in shaping market expectations.
What will Keir Starmer say during the next Prime Minister's Questions is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Iran 3+ times leads at 85% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Iran 3+ times currently leads at 85% implied probability. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Iran 3+ times
85.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Keir Starmer says Iran as part of next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons), then the market resolves to Yes.
Video of the next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons) will be used. Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. For the purposes of this market, 'next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons)' refers to the next official PMQs session in which Keir Starmer participates, occurring after March 19th, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. The event will resolve based on Keir Starmer speaking in an official capacity. If Keir Starmer is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details.
