Live prediction market odds for What will Netflix say during their next earnings call?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-20
This market resolved on 2026-01-20. Acquisition was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
AcquisitionWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Ad-Supported | 99% | 100% |
Competition | 99% | 100% |
Gaming | 99% | 100% |
Jake Paul | 99% | 100% |
Live / Event | 99% | 100% |
Paramount | 99% | 100% |
Partnership | 99% | 100% |
Stranger Things | 99% | 100% |
Warner Bros | 51% | 100% |
Hollywood | 1% | 50% |
Price Change / Price Point | 1% | 50% |
Profitable | 2% | 50% |
Subscriber | 2% | 50% |
What will Netflix say during their next earnings call was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Acquisition led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Ad-Supported at 100%, Competition at 100%, Gaming at 100%.
Acquisition held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Acquisition, Ad-Supported at 100% and Competition at 100% and Gaming at 100% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Acquisition: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Ad-Supported: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Competition: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Gaming: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Acquisition would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Acquisition
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Stranger Things is said by any Netflix, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Netflix, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Video of the Netflix, Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Netflix, Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.
