Live prediction market odds for What will Powell say during his April press conference?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-29
Good Afternoon leads the “What will Powell say during his April press conference” event at 97.5% implied probability. Other contenders include AI / Artificial Intelligence (63.0%), Goods inflation (61.8%), Pandemic (61.8%), and Tariff inflation (57.0%). A 18.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
What will Powell say during his April press conference is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Good Afternoon leads at 98% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include AI / Artificial Intelligence at 63%, Goods inflation at 62%, Pandemic at 62%.
Good Afternoon currently leads at 98% implied probability. Behind Good Afternoon, AI / Artificial Intelligence at 63% and Goods inflation at 62% and Pandemic at 62% are the next closest contenders. The 18.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Good Afternoon: 98¢ on Kalshi, 98¢ on Polymarket. AI / Artificial Intelligence: 72¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Goods inflation: 62¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Pandemic: 66¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. The 18.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 98¢ means the market estimates a 98% probability that Good Afternoon will be the outcome. Buying one share at 98¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 2% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Good Afternoon
97.5% avg
