Live prediction market odds for What will Powell say during his March press conference?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-18
This market resolved on 2026-03-18. Good Afternoon was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Jerome Powell will say during his March press conference. The statements made can influence market sentiment and economic expectations, particularly regarding inflation and monetary policy direction.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Good AfternoonWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Pandemic | 99% | 100% |
Shutdown / Shut Down | 1% | 50% |
Powell's comments can shape investor confidence and influence market movements. His remarks on inflation and interest rates are particularly scrutinized for their potential economic impact.
Prediction markets aggregate collective insights on potential outcomes based on various factors. Participants place bets on what they believe Powell will say, reflecting their expectations and analysis.
Economic data releases, current inflation trends, and recent financial market performance are key factors that could shape Powell's remarks. Additionally, geopolitical events and fiscal policies may also play a role.
What will Powell say during his March press conference was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Good Afternoon led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Pandemic at 100%, Shutdown / Shut Down at 26%.
Good Afternoon held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Good Afternoon, Pandemic at 100% and Shutdown / Shut Down at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Good Afternoon
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Pandemic at his Mar 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
Video of the Mar 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Mar 2026 will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If the event does not occur before Mar 19, 2026, then a strike for the event not occurring will resolve to Yes and all other strikes will resolve to No.
PolymarketJerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
