Live prediction market odds for What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-02-28
Market Summary
Current prediction market odds for the What will Trump say during the State of the Union address? show Hottest priced at an average implied probability of 99.5%. With a 1.0% spread across platforms, odds may vary between venues.
Market Narrative // Why the odds are moving
President Trump confirmed he will deliver the State of the Union address on Tuesday despite the partial government shutdown and previewed a major focus on economic issues, specifically claiming progress on affordability, which directly indicates topics he will address in the speech.. Meanwhile, CNN reports: democratic leaders confirmed virginia governor abigail spanberger will deliver the official democratic response to trump’s state of the union, signaling expected opposition themes and framing that could contrast with trump's speech, affecting public reception and political dynamics..
Sources: Politico / CNN
Resolution
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Hottest
99.5% avg
