Live prediction market odds for When will xAI release Grok 5?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Kalshi
2026-07-01
Before July is priced at 5.0% implied probability for the “When will xAI release Grok 5” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
When will xAI release Grok 5 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Before July leads at 5% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Before July currently leads at 5% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Before July: 5¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 5¢ means the market estimates a 5% probability that Before July will be the outcome. Buying one share at 5¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 1900% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Before July
5.0% avg
