Prediction Hunt logoPrediction Hunt
MarketsArbitrageSmart MoneyTrendingAPI
Live
Prediction Hunt

Compare prediction market odds across every platform. Find the best prices and track smart money.

Markets

  • Elections
  • Sports
  • Crypto
  • Entertainment
  • Archive

Tools

  • Trending
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Calculators
  • News
  • Blog

Community

  • Discord
  • Twitter / X
  • About
  • API Terms of Service

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

MarketsArbWhalesTrending

Live prediction market odds for Where will Trump and Putin next meet?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and Opinion.

Kalshi / Polymarket / Opinion

Where will Trump and Putin next meet?

2026-06-30

About This Market

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking where Trump and Putin will next meet. The outcome could influence international relations and geopolitical dynamics, making this a focal point for analysts and policymakers alike.

No meeting by June 30 leads the “Where will Trump and Putin next meet” event at 79.9% implied probability. Other contenders include Other EU country (7.4%), Russia (6.4%), China (1.6%), and Turkey (5.4%). A 24.8% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Live Markets

3 platforms
NM
No meeting by June 30
80% Avg
Polymarket81¢
Opinion84¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
80.5%80¢81¢20¢20¢
OpinionOpinion
79.5%75¢84¢16¢25¢
OE
Other EU countryARB
7% Avg
Polymarket5¢
Opinion11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
5.0%5¢5¢95¢95¢
OpinionOpinion
9.5%8¢11¢89¢92¢
R
RussiaARB
6% Avg
Kalshi12¢
Polymarket3¢
Opinion9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
11.0%10¢12¢88¢90¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.0%3¢3¢97¢98¢
OpinionOpinion
4.5%0¢9¢91¢100¢
C
China
3% Avg
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
3.5%1¢6¢94¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.0%2¢2¢98¢98¢
T
Turkey
4% Avg
Kalshi11¢
Polymarket2¢
Opinion9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
6.5%2¢11¢89¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
OpinionOpinion
4.5%0¢9¢91¢100¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the location of Trump and Putin's meetings?

Factors include diplomatic relations, ongoing conflicts, and the interests of both leaders. Historical meeting locations also play a role in shaping expectations.

How do prediction markets determine odds for this event?

Odds are influenced by current events, expert analysis, and public sentiment regarding both leaders. Market participants react to news and developments that could affect the likelihood of specific locations.

What is the significance of the meeting location?

The location can symbolize the nature of the relationship between the two leaders and their countries. It may also impact the agenda and outcomes of the discussions held during the meeting.

What is "Where will Trump and Putin next meet?" and why does it matter?

Where will Trump and Putin next meet is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion). No meeting by June 30 leads at 80% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Other EU country at 5%, Russia at 7%, China at 2%.

What is moving the odds on "Where will Trump and Putin next meet?"?

No meeting by June 30 currently leads at 80% implied probability. Behind No meeting by June 30, Other EU country at 5% and Russia at 7% and China at 2% are the next closest contenders. The 24.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ABCAxiosBloombergCBSCNNESPNFox NewsMSNBCNBCPoliticoReutersSemaforThe Informationthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington Post
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread24.8%
Platforms3
Candidates7
Leader

No meeting by June 30

79.9% avg

Market Rulebook: Where will Trump and Putin next meet?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska happens in New York City before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
ABCAxiosBloombergCBSCNNESPNFox NewsMSNBCNBCPoliticoReutersSemaforThe Informationthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington Post
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?