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Live prediction market odds for Which agencies will Trump eliminate?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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Kalshi

Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

2029-01-20

About This Market

Share

Kalshi is tracking which federal agencies Donald Trump may eliminate if he returns to office. The outcome of this event could impact government operations and funding, influencing public policy and the political landscape.

USAID leads the “Which agencies will Trump eliminate” event at 40.0% implied probability. Other contenders include EPA (14.0%), IRS (14.0%), and NASA (4.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
U
USAID
39% Avg
Kalshi40¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
39.0%38¢40¢60¢62¢
E
EPA
13% Avg
Kalshi14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
13.0%12¢14¢86¢88¢
I
IRS
13% Avg
Kalshi14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
13.0%12¢14¢86¢88¢
N
NASA
3% Avg
Kalshi4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
3.0%2¢4¢96¢98¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the prediction of agency eliminations?

Predictions are influenced by Trump's past statements, campaign promises, and the political climate leading up to the election. Additionally, public opinion and lobbying efforts may also play a role.

How do prediction markets work for this event?

Participants can buy and sell shares based on their predictions of which agencies Trump will eliminate. Prices fluctuate based on market sentiment and new information.

What implications could agency eliminations have?

Eliminating agencies could lead to significant shifts in policy, budget reallocations, and changes in regulatory frameworks. This could affect various sectors, including environmental protection, healthcare, and space exploration.

What is "Which agencies will Trump eliminate?" and why does it matter?

Which agencies will Trump eliminate is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). USAID leads at 40% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include EPA at 14%, IRS at 14%, NASA at 4%.

What is moving the odds on "Which agencies will Trump eliminate?"?

USAID currently leads at 40% implied probability. Behind USAID, EPA at 14% and IRS at 14% and NASA at 4% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates4
Volume$173K
Leader

USAID

40.0% avg

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