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MarketsWhalesArbTrending
ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 17.5% // +$1750.00

Live prediction market odds for Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?

2027-12-31

About This Market

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Morgan Stanley is priced at 15.8% implied probability for the “Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO” event. A 17.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
MS
Morgan StanleyARB
15% Avg
Kalshi25¢
Polymarket7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
24.0%23¢25¢75¢77¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.0%5¢7¢93¢95¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?" and why does it matter?

Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Morgan Stanley leads at 16% implied probability, making it the market favorite.

What is moving the odds on "Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?"?

Morgan Stanley currently leads at 16% implied probability. The 17.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Morgan Stanley: 25¢ on Kalshi, 7¢ on Polymarket. The 17.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Morgan Stanley is at 16%?

A price of 16¢ means the market estimates a 16% probability that Morgan Stanley will be the outcome. Buying one share at 16¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 525% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread17.5%
Platforms2
Candidates1
Volume$111
Leader

Morgan Stanley

15.8% avg

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