About This Market
ShareMorgan Stanley is priced at 15.8% implied probability for the “Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO” event. A 17.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Live prediction market odds for Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2027-12-31
Morgan Stanley is priced at 15.8% implied probability for the “Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO” event. A 17.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Morgan Stanley leads at 16% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Morgan Stanley currently leads at 16% implied probability. The 17.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Morgan Stanley: 25¢ on Kalshi, 7¢ on Polymarket. The 17.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 16¢ means the market estimates a 16% probability that Morgan Stanley will be the outcome. Buying one share at 16¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 525% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Morgan Stanley
15.8% avg