Live prediction market odds for Which company has best AI model end of June?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Opinion and Predict.fun.
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Polymarket / Opinion / Predict.fun
2026-06-30
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
Anthropic leads the “Which company has best AI model end of June” event at 79.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Google (15.7%), OpenAI (3.1%), and DeepSeek (2.3%). A 13.1% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Which company has best AI model end of June is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Polymarket, Opinion, Predict.fun). Anthropic leads at 80% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Google at 15%, OpenAI at 3%, DeepSeek at 0%.
Anthropic currently leads at 80% implied probability. Behind Anthropic, Google at 15% and OpenAI at 3% and DeepSeek at 0% are the next closest contenders. The 13.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Opinion, Predict.fun: Anthropic: 84¢ on Polymarket. Google: 15¢ on Polymarket. OpenAI: 3¢ on Polymarket. DeepSeek: 0¢ on Polymarket. The 13.1% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ means the market estimates a 80% probability that Anthropic will be the outcome. Buying one share at 80¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 25% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Anthropic
79.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Opinion and Predict.fun.
OpinionThis market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Predict.fun{'description': 'This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market\'s check time, resolution will be based on whichever company\'s name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.'}
