About This Market
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for MN-01, focusing on which party will secure victory. The outcome could influence the balance of power in Congress, making it a critical contest in the 2026 elections.
Democratic party leads the “Which party will win the House race for MN-01” event at 64.8% implied probability, followed by Republican party at 35.8%. A 40.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.


