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Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for NY-19?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi / Polymarket

Which party will win the House race for NY-19?

2026-11-04

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for NY-19, set for November 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, making it a key focus for both parties as they strategize their campaigns and voter outreach efforts.

Democratic party leads the “Which party will win the House race for NY-19” event at 73.5% implied probability, followed by Republican party at 26.0%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
DP
Democratic partyARB
73% Avg
Kalshi75¢
Polymarket72¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
74.0%73¢75¢25¢27¢
PolymarketPolymarket
71.0%70¢72¢28¢30¢
RP
Republican party
25% Avg
Kalshi25¢
Polymarket27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
24.0%23¢25¢75¢77¢
PolymarketPolymarket
26.0%25¢27¢73¢75¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds in the NY-19 House race?

Factors include local demographics, historical voting patterns, and the candidates' campaign strategies. Additionally, national political trends and issues may sway voter sentiment leading up to the election.

How do prediction markets reflect public sentiment for the NY-19 race?

Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting their expectations about the election outcome. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in public opinion or reactions to campaign developments.

What is at stake in the NY-19 House race?

Winning the NY-19 House seat could impact the overall control of the House of Representatives. This race is particularly important as it may affect legislative priorities and party influence in future sessions.

What is "Which party will win the House race for NY-19?" and why does it matter?

Which party will win the House race for NY-19 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic party leads at 74% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican party at 26%.

What is moving the odds on "Which party will win the House race for NY-19?"?

Democratic party currently leads at 74% implied probability. Behind Democratic party, Republican party at 26% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread3.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Volume$3K
Leader

Democratic party

73.5% avg

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?