About This Market
SharePolymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for PA-16, set for November 3, 2026. This election will be pivotal in determining the balance of power in Congress, as both parties vie for control in a competitive district.
Republican party leads the “Which party will win the House race for PA-16” event at 87.3% implied probability, followed by Democratic party at 12.8%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

