Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for PA-16?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for PA-16, set for November 3, 2026. This election will be pivotal in determining the balance of power in Congress, as both parties vie for control in a competitive district.
Republican party leads the “Which party will win the House race for PA-16” event at 87.3% implied probability, followed by Democratic party at 12.8%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include voter demographics, local issues, and national political trends. Polling data and candidate visibility also play significant roles in shaping market perceptions.
The outcome of this race could shift the majority in the House of Representatives. A win for either party may affect legislative priorities and the effectiveness of governance.
Past elections in PA-16 have shown fluctuating party control, reflecting broader national trends. Understanding voter turnout and party loyalty in the district can provide insights into future outcomes.
Which party will win the House race for PA-16 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican party leads at 87% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic party at 13%.
Republican party currently leads at 87% implied probability. Behind Republican party, Democratic party at 13% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Republican party
87.3% avg
