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Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for TN-01?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi / Polymarket

Which party will win the House race for TN-01?

2026-11-03

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for TN-01, set to take place on November 3, 2026. This election is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment in the region leading up to the election.

Republican party leads the “Which party will win the House race for TN-01” event at 95.3% implied probability, followed by Democratic party at 4.5%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
RP
Republican partyARB
95% Avg
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
96.0%95¢97¢3¢5¢
PolymarketPolymarket
93.0%92¢94¢6¢8¢
DP
Democratic partyARB
4% Avg
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%1¢3¢97¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.0%4¢6¢94¢96¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors could influence the outcome of the TN-01 House race?

Key factors include local economic conditions, voter turnout, and national political trends. Additionally, campaign strategies and candidate visibility will play significant roles.

How does the TN-01 House race impact national politics?

The outcome could shift the majority in the House of Representatives, affecting legislative priorities and governance. It also serves as a barometer for party strength in the region.

When will the TN-01 House race take place?

The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is significant as it coincides with the general election, which includes various federal and state races.

What is "Which party will win the House race for TN-01?" and why does it matter?

Which party will win the House race for TN-01 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican party leads at 95% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic party at 5%.

What is moving the odds on "Which party will win the House race for TN-01?"?

Republican party currently leads at 95% implied probability. Behind Republican party, Democratic party at 5% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread3.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Volume$3K
Leader

Republican party

95.3% avg

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?