Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for TN-01?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for TN-01, set to take place on November 3, 2026. This election is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment in the region leading up to the election.
Republican Party leads the “Which party will win the House race for TN-01” event at 93.6% implied probability, followed by Democratic Party at 5.7%. A 3.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include local economic conditions, voter turnout, and national political trends. Additionally, campaign strategies and candidate visibility will play significant roles.
The outcome could shift the majority in the House of Representatives, affecting legislative priorities and governance. It also serves as a barometer for party strength in the region.
The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is significant as it coincides with the general election, which includes various federal and state races.
Which party will win the House race for TN-01 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican Party leads at 94% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic Party at 6%.
Republican Party currently leads at 94% implied probability. Behind Republican Party, Democratic Party at 6% are the next closest contenders. The 3.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Republican Party
93.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for TN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
