Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for WA-05?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for WA-05, set for November 3, 2026. This contest will be pivotal in determining the balance of power in Congress, influenced by local issues and national political trends leading up to the election.
Republican Party leads the “Which party will win the House race for WA-05” event at 71.5% implied probability, followed by Democratic Party at 25.5%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout predictions. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can sway public opinion.
The outcome could affect the overall control of the House of Representatives. A shift in party control may influence legislative agendas and policy decisions.
The election for WA-05 is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle in the United States.
Which party will win the House race for WA-05 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican Party leads at 72% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic Party at 26%.
Republican Party currently leads at 72% implied probability. Behind Republican Party, Democratic Party at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Republican Party
71.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for WA-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
