Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for WI-02?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for WI-02, set for November 3, 2026. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, depending on voter sentiment and campaign dynamics leading up to the election.
Democratic Party leads the “Which party will win the House race for WI-02” event at 94.3% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 5.0%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and historical voting patterns also play a significant role.
Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting their expectations about the outcome. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in public opinion or major developments in the campaign.
Winning this seat could be pivotal for either party in achieving a majority in the House of Representatives. The outcome may also impact legislative agendas and national politics.
Which party will win the House race for WI-02 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 94% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 5%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 94% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 5% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Democratic Party
94.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for WI-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
