Live prediction market odds for Which states will Trump visit before 2027?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-12-31
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the states Trump will visit before 2027. These visits could influence his political capital and campaign strategy as he prepares for future elections.
Ohio leads the “Which states will Trump visit before 2027” event at 99.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Maryland (99.0%), Virginia (99.0%), New York (94.4%), and North Carolina (84.8%). A 44.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Trump's state visits are often influenced by political strategy, campaign events, and local support. Economic conditions and key issues in specific states may also play a role.
Odds in prediction markets are determined by the collective insights and bets of participants. Factors such as polling data, historical trends, and current events can shift these odds.
Trump's visits to specific states can signal his focus on key demographics and electoral strategies. These visits may also impact local political dynamics and voter engagement.
Which states will Trump visit before 2027 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ohio leads at 100% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Maryland at 99%, Virginia at 99%, New York at 94%.
Ohio currently leads at 100% implied probability. Behind Ohio, Maryland at 99% and Virginia at 99% and New York at 94% are the next closest contenders. The 44.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of California before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits. For cities, official municipal boundaries apply. For states/provinces, official boundaries apply. For countries, internationally recognized borders apply. International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction. Evidence must be reported by at least one Source Agency and may include official announcements, news reports with specific location details, verified photographs/videos at identifiable locations, flight records showing arrival, completed official schedules, or social media posts from official accounts. Visits that began before market issuance do not count. For multiple locations with OR logic, visiting any single location satisfies the criterion. For AND logic, all locations must be visited.
Ohio
99.5% avg
