About This Market
SharePrediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking who will advance from the California Governor primary. This primary is crucial as it sets the stage for the general election, influencing party dynamics and candidate viability in a key state.
Steve Hilton leads the “Who will advance from the California Governor primary” event at 82.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Tom Steyer (68.3%), Xavier Becerra (36.8%), Matt Mahan (9.6%), and Chad Bianco (8.4%). A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.


