Live prediction market odds for Who will be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-01
This market resolved on 2026-05-01. Juliana Stratton was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois in 2026. The outcome will influence party strategy and voter turnout in a key election year, making it a focal point for political analysts and stakeholders.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Juliana StrattonWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Raja Krishnamoorthi | 1% | 50% |
Robin Kelly | 1% | 50% |
Key factors include polling data, endorsements, and campaign fundraising. Additionally, the political climate and voter sentiment in Illinois will play a crucial role.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning the nomination.
The Illinois Senate race is significant as it could impact the balance of power in the Senate. Moreover, it serves as a barometer for national political trends leading into the 2026 elections.
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois in 2026 was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Juliana Stratton led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Raja Krishnamoorthi at 26%, Robin Kelly at 26%.
Juliana Stratton held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Juliana Stratton, Raja Krishnamoorthi at 26% and Robin Kelly at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Raja Krishnamoorthi wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Illinois Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois. If no 2026 Illinois Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Juliana Stratton
99.5% avg
