Live prediction market odds for Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-01
This market resolved on 2026-05-01. Tom Tiffany was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 94%.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin in 2026. This contest is crucial as it could influence state policies and the political landscape leading up to the general election.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Tom TiffanyWINNER | 95% | 94% |
Josh Schoemann | 0% | 2% |
Tommy Thompson | 2% | 2% |
Rebecca Kleefisch |
Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising capabilities, and endorsements. Additionally, polling data and voter sentiment will play a significant role as the election date approaches.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events. Prices fluctuate based on supply and demand, reflecting the perceived likelihood of various candidates winning the nomination.
The primary election is scheduled for May 2026, with candidates expected to ramp up their campaigns in the months leading up to the election. Key events such as debates and fundraising events will likely impact the dynamics of the race.
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin in 2026 was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tom Tiffany led the market at 94% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Josh Schoemann at 1%, Tommy Thompson at 2%, Rebecca Kleefisch at 2%.
Tom Tiffany held the lead at 94% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Tom Tiffany, Josh Schoemann at 1% and Tommy Thompson at 2% and Rebecca Kleefisch at 2% were the next closest contenders. A 2.4% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Josh Schoemann wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
| 1% |
Eric Hovde | 1% | 0% |
Tom Tiffany
94.3% avg
