Prediction Hunt logoPrediction Hunt
MarketsSmart MoneyArbitrageTrendingPaper TradingAPIPricing
Live
Prediction Hunt

Compare prediction market odds across every platform. Find the best prices and track smart money.

Markets

  • Elections
  • Sports
  • Crypto
  • Entertainment
  • US Presidential Election Hub
  • Archive

Tools

  • Trending
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Calculators
  • News
  • Blog

Community

  • Discord
  • Twitter / X
  • Tools
  • About
  • Affiliate Program
  • API Terms of Service

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

MarketsWhalesArbTrending
ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 64.5% // +$6450.00

Live prediction market odds for Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.

Discord
Follow on X

Kalshi / Polymarket

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

2026-12-31

About This Market

Share

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking who will be the UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026. The outcome will depend on fighter performances, injuries, and potential matchups leading up to the championship date.

Tom Aspinall leads the “Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026” event at 57.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Jailton Almeida (32.8%), Ciryl Gane (21.3%), Curtis Blaydes (20.5%), and Waldo Cortes Acosta (6.0%). A 64.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
TA
Tom Aspinall
52% Avg
Kalshi64¢
Polymarket78¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
49.5%35¢64¢36¢65¢
PolymarketPolymarket
55.0%32¢78¢22¢68¢
JA
Jailton AlmeidaARB
33% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
65.0%30¢100¢0¢70¢
CG
Ciryl Gane
21% Avg
Kalshi22¢
Polymarket32¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
17.0%12¢22¢78¢88¢
PolymarketPolymarket
25.5%19¢32¢68¢81¢
CB
Curtis BlaydesARB
20% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
40.0%30¢50¢50¢70¢
WC
Waldo Cortes Acosta
6% Avg
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
4.0%0¢8¢92¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
8.0%1¢15¢85¢99¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Tom Aspinall

Tom Aspinall is the current UFC Heavyweight Champion and signed with Eddie Hearn's Matchroom Talent Agency in March 2026. He became the undisputed champion in June 2025 after Jon Jones retired. Aspinall's recent partnership with Hearn may influence his career trajectory leading up to the end of 2026.

About Jailton Almeida

Jailton Almeida is a Brazilian mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's heavyweight division. He has achieved notable victories over fighters like Serghei Spivac and Alexander Romanov. Almeida's recent performances, including a loss to Rizvan Kuniev in February 2026, highlight his ongoing pursuit of the UFC Heavyweight Championship.

About Ciryl Gane

Ciryl Gane is a French professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's heavyweight division. He is scheduled to fight Alex Pereira for the interim heavyweight championship on June 14, 2026, at UFC Freedom 250. Gane's upcoming bout is pivotal in determining the interim UFC Heavyweight champion for 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the UFC Heavyweight championship odds?

Fighter performance, injury status, and upcoming matchups significantly impact the odds. Additionally, changes in training camps or management can also affect a fighter's chances.

How often do odds change for this championship market?

Odds can fluctuate frequently based on fight announcements, results, and public sentiment. Major events, such as title fights or injuries, often lead to rapid adjustments.

What is the significance of the UFC Heavyweight championship?

Holding the Heavyweight championship is a prestigious achievement in mixed martial arts, representing the pinnacle of success in the sport. It often garners significant media attention and fan interest.

What is "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" and why does it matter?

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tom Aspinall leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jailton Almeida at 33%, Ciryl Gane at 21%, Curtis Blaydes at 21%.

What is moving the odds on "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?"?

Tom Aspinall currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Tom Aspinall, Jailton Almeida at 33% and Ciryl Gane at 21% and Curtis Blaydes at 21% are the next closest contenders. The 64.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Automate This Market

Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?” event. All for free.

As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et

Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ESPN
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracleufc.com
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread64.5%
Platforms2
Candidates8

Market Rulebook: Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tom Aspinall is the UFC Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
ESPN
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracleufc.com
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

About Curtis Blaydes

Curtis Blaydes is a professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Heavyweight division. He is scheduled to fight Josh Hokit at UFC 327 on April 11, 2026. Blaydes is ranked #4 in the UFC heavyweight rankings as of March 17, 2026.

About Waldo Cortes Acosta

Waldo Cortes-Acosta is a Dominican professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Heavyweight division. He previously held the Legacy Fighting Alliance Heavyweight Championship. His recent victory over Derrick Lewis at UFC 324 positions him as a strong contender for the UFC Heavyweight title by the end of 2026.

About Sergei Pavlovich

Sergei Pavlovich is a Russian professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Heavyweight division. He is scheduled to face Tallison Teixeira on May 30, 2026, at UFC Fight Night 277. His upcoming fight is relevant to the prediction market concerning the UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026.

About Alexander Volkov

Alexander Volkov is a Russian professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Heavyweight division. He is a former heavyweight champion in both M-1 Global and Bellator MMA. Volkov is scheduled to face Waldo Cortes-Acosta on May 9, 2026, at UFC 328.

About Marcin Tybura

Marcin Tybura is a Polish professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Heavyweight division. He previously held the M-1 Global Heavyweight Championship and the M-1 Grand Prix 2013 Heavyweight Championship. Tybura is relevant to this prediction market as a current contender in the UFC Heavyweight division.
Leader

Tom Aspinall

57.5% avg