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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 58.3% // +$5830.00

Live prediction market odds for Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?

2026-11-03

About This Market

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Prediction markets on Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking who Bernie Sanders will endorse before the midterms. His endorsement could sway voter sentiment and impact key races, making it a focal point in the electoral landscape.

James Talarico - TX-Sen leads the “Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms” event at 88.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Dan Osborn - NE-Sen (55.6%), Zach Wahls - IA-Sen (48.1%), Alan Grayson - FL-Sen (8.8%), and Antonio Delgado - NY-Gov (7.5%). A 58.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
JT
James Talarico - TX-SenARB
88% Avg
Kalshi87¢
Polymarket90¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
86.0%85¢87¢13¢15¢
PolymarketPolymarket
89.0%88¢90¢10¢12¢
DO
Dan Osborn - NE-SenARB
55% Avg
Kalshi44¢
Polymarket68¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
43.0%42¢44¢56¢58¢
PolymarketPolymarket
67.0%66¢68¢32¢34¢
DO
Dan Osborn - NE-SenARB
55% Avg
Kalshi44¢
Polymarket68¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
43.0%42¢44¢56¢58¢
PolymarketPolymarket
67.0%66¢68¢32¢34¢
ZW
Zach Wahls - IA-SenARB
47% Avg
Kalshi19¢
Polymarket77¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
18.0%17¢19¢81¢83¢
PolymarketPolymarket
76.0%75¢77¢23¢25¢
ZW
Zach Wahls - IA-SenARB
47% Avg
Kalshi19¢
Polymarket77¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
18.0%17¢19¢81¢83¢
PolymarketPolymarket
76.0%75¢77¢23¢25¢

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Bernie Sanders' endorsement significant?

Bernie Sanders holds considerable influence among progressive voters, and his endorsement can energize campaigns. It may also affect voter turnout and candidate viability in crucial races.

What factors could influence Sanders' endorsement decision?

Factors include polling data, candidate alignment with his policies, and the overall political climate leading up to the midterms. Additionally, endorsements from other prominent figures may play a role.

How do prediction markets reflect Sanders' potential endorsement?

Prediction markets aggregate opinions and insights from various participants, providing a snapshot of expectations regarding Sanders' endorsement. Odds can fluctuate based on new information, such as candidate performances or public sentiment.

What is "Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?" and why does it matter?

Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). James Talarico - TX-Sen leads at 89% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Dan Osborn - NE-Sen at 56%, Dan Osborn - NE-Sen at 56%, Zach Wahls - IA-Sen at 48%.

What is moving the odds on "Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?"?

James Talarico - TX-Sen currently leads at 89% implied probability. Behind James Talarico - TX-Sen, Dan Osborn - NE-Sen at 56% and Dan Osborn - NE-Sen at 56% and Zach Wahls - IA-Sen at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 58.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread58.3%
Platforms2
Candidates9
Volume$55K
Leader

James Talarico - TX-Sen

88.5% avg

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