Live prediction market odds for Who will leave Congress before July?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Kalshi
2026-07-08
Kalshi is tracking who will leave Congress before July 2026. Factors such as retirement announcements, health issues, and political pressures could influence the likelihood of departures from Congress.
Cory Mills leads the “Who will leave Congress before July” event at 17.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Chuck Edwards (6.0%), Mike Collins (6.0%), Nancy Mace (4.0%), and Ro Khanna (4.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Members may leave due to retirement, health concerns, or political pressures. Additionally, unexpected events or scandals can prompt early departures.
Prediction markets analyze various data points, including polling trends, public statements, and historical patterns of resignations. Market participants make informed bets based on these factors.
Understanding potential departures can impact party dynamics and legislative agendas. It also provides insights into the political landscape leading up to the next election cycle.
Who will leave Congress before July is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Cory Mills leads at 17% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Chuck Edwards at 6%, Mike Collins at 6%, Nancy Mace at 4%.
Cory Mills currently leads at 17% implied probability. Behind Cory Mills, Chuck Edwards at 6% and Mike Collins at 6% and Nancy Mace at 4% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Cory Mills
17.0% avg
