Live prediction market odds for Who will perform at the Big Game?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-09
This market resolved on 2026-02-09. Ricky Martin was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 92%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Ricky MartinWINNER | 99% | 85% |
Lady Gaga | 99% | 75% |
Karol G | 24% | 21% |
Santana | 2% | 39% |
Marc Anthony | 1% | 40% |
Rauw Alejandro | 1% | 40% |
Tainy | 1% | 40% |
Travis Scott | 1% | 34% |
J Balvin | 2% | 33% |
Ozuna | 1% | 28% |
Grupo Frontera | 3% | 23% |
Romeo Santos | 1% | 23% |
Elvis Crespo | 1% | 13% |
Drake | 1% | 12% |
Post Malone | 2% | 9% |
Sabrina Carpenter | 1% | 5% |
Miley Cyrus | 1% | 4% |
Billie Eilish | 2% | 2% |
Dua Lipa | 1% | 3% |
Christina Aguilera | 1% | 3% |
Taylor Swift | 1% | 3% |
Foo Fighters | 1% | 2% |
Metallica | 1% | 2% |
Jay-Z | 1% | 2% |
Morgan Wallen | 1% | 2% |
Chappell Roan | 1% | 2% |
Oasis | 1% | 0% |
Who will perform at the Big Game was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ricky Martin led the market at 92% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Lady Gaga at 87%, Karol G at 23%, Santana at 21%.
Ricky Martin held the lead at 92% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Ricky Martin, Lady Gaga at 87% and Karol G at 23% and Santana at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 38.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ricky Martin: 99¢ on Kalshi, 85¢ on Polymarket. Lady Gaga: 99¢ on Kalshi, 75¢ on Polymarket. Karol G: 24¢ on Kalshi, 21¢ on Polymarket. Santana: 2¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 38.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 92¢ meant the market estimated a 92% chance that Ricky Martin would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 92¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 9% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Morgan Wallen performs at Super Bowl LX before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Ricky Martin
92.0% avg
