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Live prediction market odds for Who will win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi / Polymarket

Who will win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

2026-10-26

About This Market

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Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election. The outcome will influence local governance and policy direction in Ottawa, making it a focal point for voters and political analysts alike.

Mark Sutcliffe leads the “Who will win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election” event at 62.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Jeff Leiper (23.8%), and Catherine McKenney (11.3%). A 8.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
MS
Mark SutcliffeARB
62% Avg
Kalshi65¢
Polymarket61¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
64.0%63¢65¢35¢37¢
PolymarketPolymarket
60.0%59¢61¢39¢41¢
JL
Jeff LeiperARB
23% Avg
Kalshi27¢
Polymarket21¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
26.0%25¢27¢73¢75¢
PolymarketPolymarket
20.0%19¢21¢79¢81¢
CM
Catherine McKenneyARB
11% Avg
Kalshi7¢
Polymarket16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
6.0%5¢7¢93¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
15.0%14¢16¢84¢86¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

The election will determine the leadership of Ottawa, affecting local policies and initiatives. Voter turnout and candidate platforms will play crucial roles in shaping the city's future.

How do prediction markets reflect the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

Prediction markets aggregate public sentiment and expert analysis, providing insights into potential outcomes. Shifts in odds can indicate changing voter preferences and campaign dynamics.

What factors could influence the odds for the Ottawa mayoral election?

Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign strategies, and current events impacting the city. Polling data and debates leading up to the election will also affect market perceptions.

What is "Who will win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?" and why does it matter?

Who will win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mark Sutcliffe leads at 63% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jeff Leiper at 24%, Catherine McKenney at 11%.

What is moving the odds on "Who will win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?"?

Mark Sutcliffe currently leads at 63% implied probability. Behind Mark Sutcliffe, Jeff Leiper at 24% and Catherine McKenney at 11% are the next closest contenders. The 8.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread8.5%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Volume$734
Leader

Mark Sutcliffe

62.8% avg

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?