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Live prediction market odds for Who will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi / Polymarket

Who will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

2026-10-17

About This Market

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Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election. The outcome will influence local governance and policy direction, making it a focal point for voters and political analysts alike.

Kareem Allam leads the “Who will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election” event at 27.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Pete Fry (26.8%), Ken Sim (24.3%), John Coupar (23.3%), and Sean Orr (16.3%). A 21.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
KA
Kareem AllamARB
27% Avg
Kalshi26¢
Polymarket29¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
25.0%24¢26¢74¢76¢
PolymarketPolymarket
28.0%27¢29¢71¢73¢
PF
Pete FryARB
26% Avg
Kalshi25¢
Polymarket29¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
24.0%23¢25¢75¢77¢
PolymarketPolymarket
28.0%27¢29¢71¢73¢
KS
Ken SimARB
24% Avg
Kalshi20¢
Polymarket29¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
19.0%18¢20¢80¢82¢
PolymarketPolymarket
28.0%27¢29¢71¢73¢
JC
John CouparARB
23% Avg
Kalshi18¢
Polymarket29¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
17.0%16¢18¢82¢84¢
PolymarketPolymarket
28.0%27¢29¢71¢73¢
SO
Sean OrrARB
16% Avg
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket25¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
7.0%6¢8¢92¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
24.0%23¢25¢75¢77¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

The election will determine the leadership of Vancouver, impacting local policies on housing, transportation, and public services. Voter turnout and candidate platforms will play crucial roles in shaping the city's future.

How do prediction markets reflect public sentiment about the election?

Prediction markets aggregate bets on various outcomes, reflecting the collective sentiment and expectations of participants. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in public opinion or emerging campaign dynamics.

What factors could influence the odds in the Vancouver mayoral election market?

Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign strategies, and current events affecting the city. Additionally, debates and endorsements can significantly sway public perception and market odds.

What is "Who will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?" and why does it matter?

Who will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Kareem Allam leads at 27% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pete Fry at 27%, Ken Sim at 24%, John Coupar at 23%.

What is moving the odds on "Who will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?"?

Kareem Allam currently leads at 27% implied probability. Behind Kareem Allam, Pete Fry at 27% and Ken Sim at 24% and John Coupar at 23% are the next closest contenders. The 21.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread21.0%
Platforms2
Candidates6
Volume$29K
Leader

Kareem Allam

27.3% avg

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?