Live prediction market odds for Who will win the Bucharest mayoral election?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
Updated Apr 21, 6:08 PM EDT
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Bucharest mayoral election. This election is crucial as it will determine the leadership and future policies of Romania's capital, impacting local governance and public services.
Ciprian Ciucu is priced at 99.5% implied probability for the “Who will win the Bucharest mayoral election” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
The Bucharest mayoral election will decide the city's leadership, affecting local policies and governance. The outcome can influence urban development, public services, and community initiatives.
Prediction markets provide real-time insights into public sentiment and expectations regarding candidates. As new information emerges, such as polling data and campaign developments, the odds can fluctuate significantly.
Factors influencing the odds include candidate popularity, campaign strategies, and public opinion polls. External events, such as debates or endorsements, can also sway market perceptions and betting behavior.
Who will win the Bucharest mayoral election is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ciprian Ciucu leads at 100% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Ciprian Ciucu currently leads at 100% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Ciprian Ciucu wins the 2025 Bucharest mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketNicușor Dan, the current Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election scheduled to take place on December 7, 2025. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election to become the next elected Mayor of Bucharest. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the by-election will not be considered. If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
Ciprian Ciucu
99.5% avg
