Live prediction market odds for Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-30
Market Summary
In the latest prediction market odds for Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?, Hong Wang leads with an average implied probability of 80.5%. Top contenders trailing the frontrunner include Jacob Tsimerman (68.3%), Yu Deng (44.8%), Sam Raskin (35.5%), Jack Thorne (43.5%), and John Pardon (35.8%). Traders monitoring this market will find an active arbitrage window with a 19.0% spread across platforms.
Resolution
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Hong Wang
80.5% avg
