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Live prediction market odds for Who will win the Jersey City mayoral election?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

Who will win the Jersey City mayoral election?

Updated Jun 5, 10:35 PM EDT

About This Market

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Prediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Jersey City mayoral election. This election is pivotal as it will determine the city's leadership and influence local policies on key issues such as housing, public safety, and economic development.

James Solomon leads the “Who will win the Jersey City mayoral election” event at 99.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Bill O’Dea (1.0%), Jim McGreevey (1.0%), Joyce Watterman (1.0%), and Mussab Ali (1.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
JS
James SolomonARB
83% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket100¢
PredictIt99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
100.0%100¢100¢0¢0¢
PredictItPredictIt
99.0%99¢99¢1¢1¢
BO
Bill O’Dea
26% Avg
Kalshi100¢
PredictIt1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PredictItPredictIt
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
JM
Jim McGreevey
26% Avg
Kalshi100¢
PredictIt1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PredictItPredictIt
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
JW
Joyce Watterman
26% Avg
Kalshi100¢
PredictIt1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PredictItPredictIt
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
MA
Mussab Ali
26% Avg
Kalshi100¢
PredictIt1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PredictItPredictIt
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the key issues at stake in the Jersey City mayoral election?

Key issues include affordable housing, public safety, and economic development. Candidates' positions on these topics could significantly impact the city's future.

How do prediction markets determine the odds for the mayoral election?

Odds in prediction markets are influenced by various factors, including polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign activities. Market participants buy and sell shares based on their expectations of the election outcome.

What role does voter turnout play in the Jersey City mayoral election?

Voter turnout is crucial as it can sway the election results, especially in a competitive race. Higher turnout often favors candidates with strong grassroots support and mobilization efforts.

What is "Who will win the Jersey City mayoral election?" and why does it matter?

Who will win the Jersey City mayoral election is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). James Solomon leads at 99% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Bill O’Dea at 1%, Jim McGreevey at 1%, Joyce Watterman at 1%.

What is moving the odds on "Who will win the Jersey City mayoral election?"?

James Solomon currently leads at 99% implied probability. Behind James Solomon, Bill O’Dea at 1% and Jim McGreevey at 1% and Joyce Watterman at 1% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
The New York Times
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms3
Candidates5

Market Rulebook: Who will win the Jersey City mayoral election?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Jim McGreevey is sworn in pursuant to the election for Mayor in Jersey City in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
The New York Times
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

The 2025 Jersey City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Jersey City.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Leader

James Solomon

99.3% avg

No price history available