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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 5.5% // +$550.00

Live prediction market odds for Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election?

2027-01-16

About This Market

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Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the next Nigerian presidential election scheduled for January 16, 2027. This election is pivotal as it will determine the leadership direction of Africa's most populous nation, impacting both regional stability and economic policies.

Peter Obi is priced at 27.3% implied probability for the “Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election” event. A 5.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
PO
Peter ObiARB
27% Avg
Kalshi30¢
Polymarket25¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
29.5%29¢30¢70¢71¢
PolymarketPolymarket
24.5%24¢25¢75¢76¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the 2027 Nigerian presidential election?

The 2027 Nigerian presidential election will shape the country's governance and policy direction. With Nigeria being a key player in Africa, the election's outcome could influence regional dynamics and economic relations.

How do prediction markets reflect public sentiment about the election?

Prediction markets aggregate the views of participants, reflecting their expectations about candidates' chances of winning. As new information emerges, such as campaign developments or public opinion polls, the odds can fluctuate significantly.

What factors could influence the election outcome?

Key factors include economic conditions, security issues, and voter turnout. Additionally, candidates' campaign strategies and public debates will play a crucial role in shaping voter perceptions leading up to the election.

What is "Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election?" and why does it matter?

Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Peter Obi leads at 27% implied probability, making it the market favorite.

What is moving the odds on "Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election?"?

Peter Obi currently leads at 27% implied probability. The 5.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
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Stats
Spread5.5%
Platforms2
Candidates1
Leader

Peter Obi

27.3% avg

Market Rulebook: Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the winner of the next Nigerian presidential election in 2027 is Peter Obi, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?