Live prediction market odds for WI-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the WI-01 House winner for the upcoming 2026 elections. This race is pivotal as it could impact the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.
Republican Party leads the “WI-01 House winner” event at 56.5% implied probability, followed by Democratic Party at 47.0%. A 20.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising capabilities, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements can also sway public perception and market odds.
The outcome could determine party control in the House of Representatives, influencing legislative agendas. A shift in this seat may signal broader trends in voter preferences across the country.
The election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This timing places it alongside other significant federal and state elections, making it a key date for political analysts.
WI-01 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican Party leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic Party at 47%.
Republican Party currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind Republican Party, Democratic Party at 47% are the next closest contenders. The 20.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Republican Party
56.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for WI-1 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
