Live prediction market odds for WI-06 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the WI-06 House race set for November 2026. This election is crucial as it could impact the balance of power in Congress and influence future legislative agendas.
Democratic Party is priced at 14.0% implied probability for the “WI-06 House winner” event. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements can also significantly affect market perceptions.
Odds can fluctuate frequently as new information emerges, such as campaign events or shifts in public opinion. Major news stories or debates can lead to rapid changes in market sentiment.
WI-06 is considered a bellwether district, often reflecting broader national trends in voter sentiment. Winning this seat can provide momentum for the party leading in the race.
WI-06 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 14% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Democratic Party currently leads at 14% implied probability. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “WI-06 House winner?” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Democratic Party
14.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for WI-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
