Live prediction market odds for WI-07 House Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the WI-07 House Election Winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in the House of Representatives, impacting legislative priorities and party dynamics.
Republican Party leads the “WI-07 House Election Winner” event at 83.3% implied probability, followed by Democratic Party at 33.5%. A 33.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter sentiment. Additionally, national trends and local issues can sway public opinion leading up to the election.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning.
Winning the WI-07 seat could shift the majority in the House, affecting legislative agendas and governance. This election is critical for both parties as they strategize for future elections.
WI-07 House Election Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican Party leads at 83% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic Party at 34%.
Republican Party currently leads at 83% implied probability. Behind Republican Party, Democratic Party at 34% are the next closest contenders. The 33.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for WI-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Republican Party
83.3% avg
