About This Market
ShareWill 2025 be the hottest year on record is priced at 26.0% implied probability for the “Will 2025 be the hottest year on record” event. A 48.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Live prediction market odds for Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
2025-12-31
Price History
Multi-Platform ProbabilitiesNo price history available
Live Markets
2 platforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What is "Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?" and why does it matter?
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Will 2025 be the hottest year on record leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
What is moving the odds on "Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?"?
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record currently leads at 26% implied probability. The 48.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
What are the current odds for "Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?" across platforms?
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Will 2025 be the hottest year on record: 2¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 48.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
What does it mean that Will 2025 be the hottest year on record is at 26%?
A price of 26¢ means the market estimates a 26% probability that Will 2025 be the hottest year on record will be the outcome. Buying one share at 26¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 285% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.