Live prediction market odds for Will Abstract launch a token by ___?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Polymarket / Predict.fun
Updated Jun 14, 11:09 AM EDT
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
December 31, 2026 is priced at 21.0% implied probability for the “Will Abstract launch a token by ___” event. A 10.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Will Abstract launch a token by ___ is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). December 31, 2026 leads at 21% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
December 31, 2026 currently leads at 21% implied probability. The 10.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: December 31, 2026: 26¢ on Polymarket. The 10.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 21¢ means the market estimates a 21% probability that December 31, 2026 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 21¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 376% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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December 31, 2026
21.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Opinion and Predict.fun.
OpinionThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Predict.fun{'description': 'This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n\n\nCreated At: 2026-03-02T13:13:39.65930487Z'}
