Live prediction market odds for Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Opinion and Predict.fun.
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Polymarket / Opinion / Predict.fun
2027-01-01
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
December 31, 2026 leads the “Will Arc launch a token by ___ ” event at 38.5% implied probability. Other contenders include September 30, 2026 (27.4%), and June 30, 2026 (8.0%). A 21.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Will Arc launch a token by ___ is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Polymarket, Opinion, Predict.fun). December 31, 2026 leads at 39% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include September 30, 2026 at 40%, June 30, 2026 at 11%.
December 31, 2026 currently leads at 39% implied probability. Behind December 31, 2026, September 30, 2026 at 40% and June 30, 2026 at 11% are the next closest contenders. The 21.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Opinion, Predict.fun: December 31, 2026: 41¢ on Polymarket. September 30, 2026: 40¢ on Polymarket. June 30, 2026: 11¢ on Polymarket. The 21.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 39¢ means the market estimates a 39% probability that December 31, 2026 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 39¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 156% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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December 31, 2026
38.5% avg
