Live prediction market odds for Will marijuana be rescheduled?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Kalshi
2029-01-20
Before Jan 20, 2029 leads the “Will marijuana be rescheduled” event at 77.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Before 2028 (67.0%), and Before 2027 (23.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Will marijuana be rescheduled is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Before Jan 20, 2029 leads at 77% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Before 2028 at 67%, Before 2027 at 23%.
Before Jan 20, 2029 currently leads at 77% implied probability. Behind Before Jan 20, 2029, Before 2028 at 67% and Before 2027 at 23% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Before Jan 20, 2029: 77¢ on Kalshi. Before 2028: 67¢ on Kalshi. Before 2027: 23¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 77¢ means the market estimates a 77% probability that Before Jan 20, 2029 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 77¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 30% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Before Jan 20, 2029
77.0% avg
