Live prediction market odds for Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Polymarket / Predict.fun
2026-07-01
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
September 30 leads the “Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ” event at 50.3% implied probability, followed by June 30 at 3.5%. A 73.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). September 30 leads at 50% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include June 30 at 4%.
September 30 currently leads at 50% implied probability. Behind September 30, June 30 at 4% are the next closest contenders. The 73.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: September 30: 87¢ on Polymarket. June 30: 4¢ on Polymarket. The 73.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 50¢ means the market estimates a 50% probability that September 30 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 50¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 100% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
September 30
50.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.fun{'description': 'This market will resolve to "Yes" if Metamask officially launches a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.'}
