Live prediction market odds for Will Perena launch a token by ___?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Opinion and Predict.fun.
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Polymarket / Opinion / Predict.fun
2027-01-01
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
September 30, 2026 leads the “Will Perena launch a token by ___” event at 27.1% implied probability, followed by June 30, 2026 at 6.9%. A 28.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Will Perena launch a token by ___ is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Polymarket, Opinion, Predict.fun). September 30, 2026 leads at 27% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include June 30, 2026 at 0%.
September 30, 2026 currently leads at 27% implied probability. Behind September 30, 2026, June 30, 2026 at 0% are the next closest contenders. The 28.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Opinion, Predict.fun: September 30, 2026: 38¢ on Polymarket. June 30, 2026: 0¢ on Polymarket. The 28.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 27¢ means the market estimates a 27% probability that September 30, 2026 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 27¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 270% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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September 30, 2026
27.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Opinion and Predict.fun.
OpinionThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:39:10.205086242Z
