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Live prediction market odds for Will the Citrini scenario happen?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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Kalshi

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

2028-07-01

About This Market

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Kalshi is tracking the likelihood of the Citrini scenario occurring in the upcoming elections. This scenario's implications could significantly influence voter sentiment and campaign strategies as the election date approaches.

Yes is priced at 24.0% implied probability for the “Will the Citrini scenario happen” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
Y
Yes
23% Avg
Kalshi24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
23.0%22¢24¢76¢78¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Citrini scenario?

The Citrini scenario refers to a specific set of political events that could unfold during the election cycle. Understanding this scenario helps analysts gauge potential shifts in voter behavior.

Why are prediction markets focused on this scenario?

Prediction markets provide insights into public sentiment and potential outcomes based on current events. The Citrini scenario could alter the dynamics of the election, making it a focal point for analysts.

How do external factors influence the odds for this scenario?

Factors such as polling data, candidate performances, and major political events can impact the perceived likelihood of the Citrini scenario. As these elements evolve, they can lead to fluctuations in market odds.

What is "Will the Citrini scenario happen?" and why does it matter?

Will the Citrini scenario happen is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Yes leads at 24% implied probability, making it the market favorite.

What is moving the odds on "Will the Citrini scenario happen?"?

Yes currently leads at 24% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates1
Volume$25.8M
Leader

Yes

24.0% avg

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