Live prediction market odds for Will the SAVE Act become law?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-12-31
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking whether the SAVE Act will become law by the end of 2026. This legislation could have far-reaching implications for immigration policy and economic reform, making it a focal point in political discussions and legislative agendas.
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026 is priced at 12.3% implied probability for Will the SAVE Act become law. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
The SAVE Act is proposed legislation aimed at reforming immigration policies and addressing economic challenges. Its provisions could significantly alter the current immigration framework.
Factors include political support in Congress, public opinion, and the priorities of the current administration. Legislative negotiations and potential amendments also play a crucial role.
The SAVE Act is set to be evaluated for passage by December 31, 2026. Any delays in legislative processes could impact its chances of becoming law.
Will the SAVE Act become law is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026 leads at 12% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026 currently leads at 12% implied probability. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026
12.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
