Live prediction market odds for Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Kalshi
2027-01-01
Before January 21, 2029 leads the “Will the US take control of any part of Greenland” event at 21.0% implied probability, followed by Before 2027 at 6.7%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Before January 21, 2029 leads at 21% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Before 2027 at 7%.
Before January 21, 2029 currently leads at 21% implied probability. Behind Before January 21, 2029, Before 2027 at 7% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Before January 21, 2029: 21¢ on Kalshi. Before 2027: 7¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 21¢ means the market estimates a 21% probability that Before January 21, 2029 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 21¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 376% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Before January 21, 2029
21.0% avg
