Live prediction market odds for Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
Resolved 2026-04-21
This market resolved on 2026-04-21. Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Virginia redistricting referendum set for April 2026. This referendum could reshape electoral districts, impacting political representation and party dynamics in the state, making it a pivotal issue in upcoming elections.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum passWINNER | 100% | 100% | 99% |
The Virginia redistricting referendum is a proposed measure that seeks to change the boundaries of electoral districts in the state. It aims to address concerns about fair representation and partisan gerrymandering.
The referendum is scheduled for April 21, 2026. This timing coincides with the lead-up to the next election cycle, which could amplify its significance.
This referendum is crucial as it could affect the balance of power in Virginia's legislature. Changes in district boundaries can influence election outcomes and party control.
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution.
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.8% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf a referendum that allows the state legislature to redraw Virginia's congressional map passes in Virginia before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
A referendum "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple majority, supermajority, or other threshold), meets any minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable, and is certified as passed by the official electoral authority.
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass
99.5% avg
