Live prediction market odds for Will Trump be impeached?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Kalshi
2026-11-03
Before Jan 1, 2028 leads the “Will Trump be impeached” event at 61.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Before Mar 1, 2027 (28.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (3.4%), and Before Sep 1, 2026 (1.5%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Will Trump be impeached is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Before Jan 1, 2028 leads at 61% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Before Mar 1, 2027 at 28%, Before Jan 1, 2027 at 3%, Before Sep 1, 2026 at 2%.
Before Jan 1, 2028 currently leads at 61% implied probability. Behind Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Mar 1, 2027 at 28% and Before Jan 1, 2027 at 3% and Before Sep 1, 2026 at 2% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Before Jan 1, 2028: 61¢ on Kalshi. Before Mar 1, 2027: 28¢ on Kalshi. Before Jan 1, 2027: 3¢ on Kalshi. Before Sep 1, 2026: 2¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 61¢ means the market estimates a 61% probability that Before Jan 1, 2028 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 61¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 64% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Will Trump be impeached?” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Before Jan 1, 2028
61.0% avg
