Live prediction market odds for World Baseball Classic: Pool C Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-17
This market resolved on 2026-03-17. Japan was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the World Baseball Classic: Pool C Winner. This event is pivotal as it determines which teams advance in a highly competitive international tournament, influencing national pride and future matchups.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
JapanWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Australia | 1% | 50% |
Chinese Taipei | 1% | 50% |
Czechia |
Pool C features several national teams, each vying for a chance to advance in the tournament. The competition includes teams with strong baseball traditions and emerging talents.
The World Baseball Classic showcases the best talent from various countries, promoting the sport globally. It also allows teams to gain experience and exposure on an international stage.
Odds are influenced by team performance in previous tournaments, player statistics, and current form. Additionally, injuries and roster changes can significantly affect predictions.
World Baseball Classic: Pool C Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Japan led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Australia at 26%, Chinese Taipei at 26%, Czechia at 25%.
Japan held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Japan, Australia at 26% and Chinese Taipei at 26% and Czechia at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 50.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Australia finish first in Pool C in the 2026 World Baseball Classic, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the team that wins Pool C at the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. If multiple teams tie as pool winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 World Baseball Classic. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/world-baseball-classic); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| 50% |
Korea | 1% | 50% |
Japan
99.5% avg
