Live prediction market odds for World Cup: Bronze Ball Winner. Compare prices across Polymarket.
Polymarket
2026-07-20
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
Lionel Messi leads the “World Cup: Bronze Ball Winner” event at 40.1% implied probability. Other contenders include Michael Olise (32.8%), Vinícius Jr (32.0%), Harry Kane (22.3%), and Cristiano Ronaldo (4.7%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
World Cup: Bronze Ball Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Polymarket). Lionel Messi leads at 40% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Michael Olise at 33%, Vinícius Jr at 32%, Harry Kane at 22%.
Lionel Messi currently leads at 40% implied probability. Behind Lionel Messi, Michael Olise at 33% and Vinícius Jr at 32% and Harry Kane at 22% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket: Lionel Messi: 40¢ on Polymarket. Michael Olise: 33¢ on Polymarket. Vinícius Jr: 32¢ on Polymarket. Harry Kane: 22¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 40¢ means the market estimates a 40% probability that Lionel Messi will be the outcome. Buying one share at 40¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 150% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Lionel Messi
40.1% avg
