Live prediction market odds for World Cup Group B Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / Predict.fun
2026-06-27
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the World Cup Group B Winner. This event holds significance as it will determine which teams advance from the group stage, impacting their chances in the knockout rounds of the tournament.
Switzerland leads the “World Cup Group B Winner” event at 51.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Canada (26.8%), BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL (21.8%), and Qatar (2.3%). A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Team performance in qualifying matches, player injuries, and historical performance in World Cups can all affect the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and betting patterns can shift as the tournament approaches.
The market for the World Cup Group B Winner will close once the group stage matches conclude on June 27, 2026. This timing allows for real-time adjustments based on match outcomes.
Prediction markets typically allow participants to bet on the outcomes of events, with prices reflecting the perceived probabilities of each outcome. As new information becomes available, such as match results or player news, these prices can fluctuate significantly.
World Cup Group B Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict.fun). Switzerland leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Canada at 27%, BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL at 22%, Qatar at 2%.
Switzerland currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Switzerland, Canada at 27% and BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL at 22% and Qatar at 2% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf Canada finish first in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
If teams are tied on points, the group winner is determined according to the official FIFA World Cup tiebreak criteria. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the team that wins Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Predict.fun{'description': 'This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.\n\nIf multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nThis market is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by FIFA or any participating teams. Any references to FIFA or related events are for informational purposes only.'}
Switzerland
51.3% avg
