Live prediction market odds for World Cup Group C Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-27
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the World Cup Group C Winner. The outcome of this event will influence the knockout stage matchups and the overall tournament dynamics, making it crucial for fans and analysts alike.
Brazil leads the “World Cup Group C Winner” event at 75.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Morocco (17.5%), Scotland (5.3%), and Haiti (1.1%). A 1.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Team performance in qualifying matches, player injuries, and historical performance in World Cups all play a role in shaping the odds. Additionally, betting patterns and public sentiment can also impact market prices.
The market for the World Cup Group C Winner will close once the group stage matches conclude on June 27, 2026. After this date, no further bets can be placed on the outcome.
Odds are determined by the collective betting activity and market sentiment on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. As more participants place bets, the odds adjust to reflect the perceived likelihood of each team's success.
World Cup Group C Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Brazil leads at 75% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Morocco at 18%, Scotland at 5%, Haiti at 1%.
Brazil currently leads at 75% implied probability. Behind Brazil, Morocco at 18% and Scotland at 5% and Haiti at 1% are the next closest contenders. A 1.3% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Haiti finish first in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
If teams are tied on points, the group winner is determined according to the official FIFA World Cup tiebreak criteria. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the team that wins Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Brazil
75.3% avg
