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Live prediction market odds for World Cup Group F Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi / Polymarket

World Cup Group F Winner

2026-06-27

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the World Cup Group F Winner as teams prepare for the tournament in 2026. This event is pivotal as it influences national pride and can impact future matchups in the knockout stages of the competition.

Netherlands leads the “World Cup Group F Winner” event at 64.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Japan (27.0%), and Tunisia (4.5%). A 10.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Live Markets

2 platforms
N
NetherlandsARB
64% Avg
Kalshi70¢
Polymarket60¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
69.0%68¢70¢30¢32¢
PolymarketPolymarket
59.0%58¢60¢40¢42¢
J
Japan
26% Avg
Kalshi28¢
Polymarket26¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
27.0%26¢28¢72¢74¢
PolymarketPolymarket
25.0%24¢26¢74¢76¢
T
Tunisia
4% Avg
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
4.0%3¢5¢95¢97¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.0%2¢4¢96¢98¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the World Cup Group F Winner?

Odds are influenced by team performance in qualifiers, player injuries, and historical matchups. Additionally, expert analyses and fan sentiment can shift perceptions leading up to the tournament.

When does the World Cup Group F Winner market close?

The market will close at the start of the World Cup matches for Group F on June 27, 2026. This timing allows for final adjustments based on last-minute team news.

How do prediction markets determine the likelihood of a team winning Group F?

Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting collective expectations about team performance. As new information becomes available, such as player form and tactical changes, the odds are updated to reflect these insights.

What is "World Cup Group F Winner" and why does it matter?

World Cup Group F Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Netherlands leads at 65% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Japan at 27%, Tunisia at 5%.

What is moving the odds on "World Cup Group F Winner"?

Netherlands currently leads at 65% implied probability. Behind Netherlands, Japan at 27% and Tunisia at 5% are the next closest contenders. The 10.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread10.5%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Volume$15K
Leader

Netherlands

64.8% avg

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?